Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 13.654199 15.665264 17.806548 20.249290 22.951631 25.842598 29.161983
2025-01-19 11.203089 13.872879 16.883422 20.505977 24.721864 29.448436 35.122079
2025-01-26 9.724381 12.832135 16.505458 21.118247 26.703335 33.193199 41.247006
2025-02-02 8.539845 11.925946 16.097536 21.532226 28.336254 36.480964 46.866898
2025-02-09 7.442184 10.961726 15.467847 21.538536 29.370106 38.993965 51.560071
2025-02-16 6.227176 9.684669 14.286615 20.695846 29.209400 39.938447 54.266132
2025-02-23 5.434810 8.882543 13.635185 20.452357 29.742142 41.706901 57.994243
2025-03-02 4.692202 8.060947 12.869264 19.968039 29.882889 42.920221 60.991808
2025-03-09 4.144677 7.462931 12.355476 19.772397 30.365562 44.556149 64.545142
2025-03-16 3.602766 6.810047 11.698622 19.309919 30.425045 45.589957 67.289473
2025-03-23 3.270092 6.453356 11.448841 19.408375 31.255304 47.671473 71.473742
2025-03-30 2.942543 6.067508 11.117861 19.352110 31.839840 49.408302 75.209756
2025-04-06 2.705745 5.815697 10.982146 19.586892 32.862442 51.798191 79.930973
2025-04-13 2.481439 5.560509 10.817683 19.758581 33.785124 54.059861 84.517987
2025-04-20 2.350328 5.461914 10.902065 20.321329 35.309334 57.217960 90.438049
2025-04-27 2.200986 5.311554 10.884114 20.710065 36.570545 60.016518 95.899010
2025-05-04 2.004206 5.045246 10.642468 20.711111 37.218170 61.917913 100.097802
2025-05-11 1.709651 4.542927 9.939348 19.892449 36.527470 61.792601 101.324569
2025-05-18 1.526911 4.251071 9.593289 19.655758 36.745503 63.022955 104.551751
2025-05-25 1.335388 3.913474 9.132147 19.186256 36.555480 63.612105 106.822996
2025-06-01 1.196273 3.675417 8.840893 18.996624 36.810090 64.879774 110.124159
2025-06-08 1.045049 3.386033 8.422791 18.548639 36.605719 65.415011 112.314202
2025-06-15 0.961600 3.251368 8.305022 18.643976 37.319550 67.402980 116.751021